The east coast could face a difficult period in the coming months, with hurricane activity forecast to be more violent than normal.
In 2022, between 14 and 20 storms are expected strong enough to be named by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), of which up to 10 are classified as hurricanes. Named storms have winds above 39 mph and hurricanes have winds above 74 mph.
So far, three storms have achieved naming status: Hurricane Bonnie and Tropical Storms Alex and Colin. Although the NHC defines hurricane season in the Atlantic between June 1 and November 30, major hurricane activity usually doesn’t start until August.
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In 2022, between 14 and 20 storms are predicted strong enough to be named by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), of which up to 10 are classified as hurricanes, as shown in the NOAA chart above.
So far this year, three storms have become nominative: Hurricane Bonnie and Tropical Storms Alex and Colin. Hurricane Zeta is pictured above in the Gulf of Mexico in 2020
In August 2021, Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana with winds of up to 150 miles per hour, damaging thousands of homes and cutting off electricity for millions of people. Pictured above are NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season
“Although it was a relatively slow start to the hurricane season, with no major storms developing in the Atlantic, this is not unusual and therefore we cannot afford to let our guard down,” FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell said in a statement. declaration. “This is especially important as we enter hurricane peak season – the next Ida or Sandy may still be lurking.”
Recent years have seen a significant increase in Atlantic hurricanes. Last year it was the third busiest on record, with 21 storms strong enough to have a name, including seven hurricanes.
It was the first time there were enough storms to go through the entire alphabet for two consecutive years (the annual list of names doesn’t include those starting with the letters Q, U, X, Y, or Z). This is a noteworthy increase from the period between 1991 and 2020, when there was an average of 14 nominative storms per year.
In August 2021, Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana with winds of up to 150 miles per hour, damaging thousands of homes and cutting off electricity for millions of people. According to government statistics, Ida killed 96 people and caused $ 75 billion in damage, making it the most expensive natural disaster of the year in the United States.
“Communities and families should prepare now for the rest of what should still be an active hurricane season,” National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said in a statement. There were 21 named storms last year (as seen above)
Shirley Andrus looks into her vehicle which was crushed by a fallen tree as Hurricane Laura swept through the area on August 28, 2020 in Lake Charles, Louisiana
Officials warned that anyone living near the coast should be prepared for the possibility of significant storms. Pictured above: Massive flooding from Hurricane Eta and Hurricane Iota in Honduras
“Communities and families should prepare now for the rest of what should still be an active hurricane season,” National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said in a statement.
“Make sure you are ready to act if a hurricane threatens your area by developing an evacuation plan and gathering supplies for the hurricane now, before a storm hits your community.”
Although the NHC forecasts do not foresee possible landings, Matthew Rosencrans, head of seasonal outlook for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, told DailyMail.com that in above-normal years, the United States usually sees a doubling in the number. of hurricanes reaching the coast from Miami to Maine.
Criswell warned that those living along the coast should start preparing for what might happen.
Just 20 minutes of advance preparation could make a huge difference when a severe storm is sweeping towards the coast, Rosencrans noted.
“They should make sure they have a quick, ready-to-use box of all their really important documents. They should make sure their insurance plan is up to date and review their plan with their family and loved ones,” she said.
This year, the United States could see a doubling in the number of hurricanes hitting the coast from Miami to Maine. This satellite image shows tropical storm Dorian as it is over the Bahamas
Just 20 minutes of advance preparation could make a huge difference when a severe storm is sweeping towards the coast, officials note. Pictured: A truck is stuck on a flooded road following Hurricane Laura in Grand Lake south of Lake Charles, Louisiana
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center has estimated the probability of an “above normal” thunderstorm activity at 60%, which is a slight improvement over May, where the same forecasters put the odds of a season above normal at 65%.
Although thunderstorm activity has been relatively quiet so far, those living on the east coast shouldn’t be lulled into a false sense of security.
“I think we often get this feeling in early August that it was relatively quiet even though the hurricane season started on June 1, but most storms really come in the next two month period,” Kevin Reed, a dean Stony’s associate The Brook University School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences told DailyMail.com.
“I like to put it in a different context, that is: a storm that lands in a particular area is enough to make a season really impactful”.
Although climate systems are incredibly complex and affected by numerous factors, Reed said the impacts of climate change are being felt in the extreme strength of the storms observed in recent years.
“The global average temperature has risen by more than one degree Celsius, the temperature in the North Atlantic is warmer than it would have been in a world without climate change,” he said.
“Therefore, when storms do occur and there will be storms in the coming months, they will have the likelihood of being stronger, they will discharge more rainfall than they would and could have a real impact if they land.”